Trading carbon insults

Giles Parkinson - Climate Spectador

Heard the one about the idiot climate change denialist journalist, writing crap about a carbon tax in Canada's British Columbia, that he claims is making minuscule reductions to emissions and having zero impact on the world's temperature?

 

It's not that I'd normally take the Herald Sun's Terry McCrann seriously enough to bother contradicting him. Except that a quick check of the facts about BC would destroy his typically hyperbolic claim that if we "put a price on carbon" we will blow up our economy and live miserably ever after.

Except that while one Herald Sun business journalist writing crap about carbon might, to borrow from Oscar Wilde, be unfortunate, two writing crap looks like carelessness. And it does rather make you wonder what they have taken to adding to the normal News Ltd Kool-Aid.

My apologies to McCrann for the above rant, but I have simply copied the opening paragraphs of his Tuesday column in the Herald Sun and substituted the name of his target, Fairfax journalist Michael Pascoe, with his own, and changed a few words here and there.

I wouldn’t normally bother standing in the middle of an argument between two prominent columnists – and they are both big enough, ugly enough, well paid enough and experienced enough to look after own affairs and reputations. But I could not think of a better example of the polemics around climate change and clean energy, and how the facts are so readily distorted and debased, and of the lack of civility that has crept into the debate.

 

The target of McCrann’s anger was a piece written by Pascoe on Monday that quoted an article from The Economist about how British Columbia had introduced a carbon tax and continued to have a thriving economy.

 

McCrann was clearly appalled, and said the “big inconvenient truth” was that BC got 86 per cent of its electricity from hydro power and got “Zero. Zip. Nada. Nothing” from coal fired energy. In short, he said: “BC's move to tax carbon dioxide emissions is not the direct attack on its cheap and reliable power that Julia's tax is on us.”

 

Well, that’s not quite true. As McCrann must have often found in his many years as a leading business commentator, things are rarely as simple as they first appear.

 

Yes, almost all the power generated within the province’s borders comes from hydro, but it also imports nearly 20 per cent of its energy needs from mostly coal-fired power sources from the north-western states of the US, and it wants to replace it with home grown green energy – solar, marine, wind, biomass and geothermal – as well as small-scale hydro.

 

By 2016, BC wants to be “energy self sufficient” – even to allow for those seasons when its hydro capacity is low – and by 2014 it wants to close down its only large fossil fuel generator, the 800MW Burrard gas-fired power station. And by 2026, it wants to establish 3000 gigawatt hours of “insurance” – or surplus capacity – based entirely around clean energy, just to make sure it doesn’t have to import dirty energy from elsewhere.

 

Just like Australia, this has caused an uproar about rising costs of electricity from the Opposition, which would much prefer the province retain its comparative cost advantage and continue to import cheap coal-fired power from the US.

 

But the unexpected aspect about the debate in BC is that the Clean Energy Act is being prosecuted by the centre-right Liberal government, and its vigorous opponents and defenders of cheap and dirty coal-fired energy are those from the left wing New Democrat Party.

 

But then it gets even more intriguing. The carbon tax – which began at $C10 a tonne and rises by $C5/t a year (it is now $C25/t) – which forms a central plank of a clean energy policy, is designed to help reduce emissions in BC by 33 per cent from 2007 levels by 2020. Even with virtually zero emissions from its stationary energy sector, which most people would regard as the low hanging fruit in any emissions reduction plant, the conservative government wants to slash emissions by a third. Australia, even with all its low hanging fruit still in place, is aiming for a 5 per cent cut from 2000 levels.

 

The task is complicated by the fact that, like Australia, BC anticipates demand for energy to soar by up to 45 per cent over the next 20 years. So in 2007, it implemented a couple of hard and fast rules to meet what it calls the “hydro gap” of nearly 30,000 gigawatt hours of electricity by 2025 – two thirds of that demand will be met through energy efficiency measures and energy conservation, while renewables will account for 93 per cent of new energy build.

 

Janice Larson, the director of renewable energy development at the province’s Ministry of Energy, Mines and Petroleum Resources, explained the strategy in a presentation at the EcoGen conference in Sydney last October. She said the province is implementing ambitious green building codes and fuel efficiency standards, and is also looking at direct funding and large-scale feed-in tariffs to encourage the exploitation of its solar, wind, wave, tidal, and biomass resources, and its active hydrogen cell industry.

 

“The clean energy vision really starts with proactive energy efficiency and conservation, since the cheapest and cleanest energy is the energy you save… and the more you can save, the less new energy you’ll need,” she said. “It seems like a pretty good foundation upon which to develop a clean energy vision.”

 

The carbon tax is revenue neutral, where money raised is returned via tax credits and incentives. And BC – a province that, like Australia, has traditionally relied on commodity exports such as pulp and paper, forestry, mining and metallurgical products – now also boasts the world’s third biggest cleantech market, after California and Germany’s Rhine Westphaalia.

 

Larson noted that BC’s cleantech sector (not including hydro) currently employs more than 22,000 people and generates revenues of more than $2.5 billion. “We are looking to the low-carbon economy of the future,” Larson told the EcoGen conference. “We favour proactive policies, we see the the green economy as a local and a global economy, so everyone can and should be part of it.”

 

The point is that BC, which already has the lowest emissions per capita in north America, is still seeking to cut the remaining emissions - centred around transport (36 per cent), fossil fuel extraction (18 per cent), other industry (19 per cent) and buildings (11 per cent) by a third, and is using a carbon price to do so. These are areas that remain largely untouched by Australia's carbon price. It hasn't weakened the BC economy at all, and the province now has a new industrial sector to boast of and to provide jobs.

 

No wonder it is such a scary proposition to the anti-carbon price brigade. And all this from a right-of-centre government. It must be a plot.

Smart power meters 'to hit poor'

HOUSEHOLDS that rely on daytime airconditioning, cooking and heating will be hit with higher power bills. This will occur as hi-tech "smart meters" are rolled out nationally.

Victorians are being slugged an average of $68 a year just for the remote digital meters to be installed -- even though barely 10 per cent of households have them.

Consumers are being billed upfront for the rollout to 2.5 million households, which is not due for completion before the end of 2013.

Other states and territories are trialling the devices, which send real-time readings to power companies every half-hour.

Utilities can then tailor their bills, to charge more for electricity used at peak times of demand during the day, and less at nights and weekends.

Victoria has stalled the new pricing system for at least nine months, after complaints from welfare and consumer groups that it would punish low-income families and pensioners.

The introduction of the smart meters comes in the wake of Australians' electricity bills rising 18.2 per cent last financial year, according to the Australian Bureau of Statistics, with a typical bill going up by as much as 27 per cent to $2012 in Victoria and 12 per cent to $2278 for rural NSW residents.

Posted by Big Gav

Google Hits Geothermal Jackpot in West Virginia

Along with the great news that Google is investing a ton of money in anoffshore wind energy superhighway, other recent Google energy news is that a Google-funded project has discovered enough geothermal potential under a rather infamous coal state — West Virginia — to more than double the state’s electricity generation capacity.

Google gave the Southern Methodist University a $481,500 grant to look into this issue and the research findings were huge.

78% more geothermal energy is under the state than was previously expected.

The implications are rather clear: West Virginia could kick its dirty coal andmountaintop removal habit and start tapping into geothermal. This would be a benefit for the state economically and environmentally, meaning a better quality of life for its residents.

It could also help the country become more energy secure.

“The presence of a large, baseload, carbon neutral and sustainable energy resource in West Virginia could make an important contribution to enhancing the US energy security and for decreasing CO2 emissions,” the report concluded.

West Virginia currently has an electricity generating capacity of 16,350 MW (~97% of that coming from coal power), but the report concluded that if only 2% of the state’s geothermal energy were recovered, it could produce up to 18,890 MW of capacity from clean energy.

Zachary Shahan

The carbon management strategic priority

Taken from: Carbon Disclosure Protect

Carbon management is moving up the corporate agenda and many companies now understand the need to handle their emissions. But should carbon management be considered a strategic priority? That is the central question with which a recent report from the Carbon Disclosure Project and produced by Verdantix is concerned.

Carbon management is being propelled to the forefront of business across multiple sectors through a number of market drivers, including energy costs, the growing cost of carbon, brand reputation, energy supply risks, employee expectations, investor requests and competitive positioning. With firms expecting the impact of these drivers to grow over the next five to ten years, carbon management is increasingly being added to their long term priority checklists.

This report explores companies perception of carbon management and helps evidence the case that carbon management is a growing strategic issue.

New Software for Sustainable Product Design

This is a great tool to start providing low-carbon solutions from the design stages of the projects. So far, until now the use of these sort of packages has been in the air, with no real significance. Hopefully, this new partnership will give the construction industry a more sustainable way of doing things, without affecting the profitability of the business

Autodesk and Granta Design are teaming up to co-develop a new Web-based software that will allow businesses to assess the environmental impact of their materials choices during the product design stage. The partnership will leverage Autodesk’s digital prototyping with Granta’s materials information and eco-design technology.

The companies are working to integrate Granta’s eco-design methods into Autodesk software, helping designers to estimate the environmental impact of a product and make more sustainable design decisions, which will also help them meet regulatory compliance. The new tools will access and use data from Granta’s materials information database.

Because nearly 80 percent of a product’s environmental footprint is determined during the design phase, the combination of the companies’ technologies is expected to significantly help manufacturers optimize product sustainability, according to the companies.

“The ability to optimize material selection based on environmental impact, in addition to cost and performance, is crucial to today’s manufacturers,” said Robert “Buzz” Kross, senior vice president, Manufacturing Industry Group at Autodesk, in a statement. “We believe that companies of all sizes — not just large enterprises — deserve ready access to this information, and our partnership with Granta will help deliver that capability to Autodesk customers worldwide.”

Materials analysis and selection is becoming increasingly important for companies to control a product design’s environmental impact, particularly following the proposed revisions to the FTC Green Guide, which would require manufacturers that market their products as made with renewable materials to say how much of the product is made with those materials, what those materials are, how they are sourced and why they are considered renewable, say the companies.

In addition, the European Union’s recent Eco-design of Energy-Related Products Directive requires companies to use best practices in design for the environment to minimize the environmental impact of energy-using products and energy-related products.

Low carbon: Building a better future

I found this in the New Civil Engineer edition for the first week of October 2010. Being honest, this is the sort of wake up call required for long, to get the construction business into the Low-Carbon economy.

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How we cost buildings is set to change if carbon becomes a commercial commodity. Sean Lockie explains that engineers will have to understand how a low carbon economy of the future may change a building’s design now.

The UK now has some world leading policy and regulations in the area of climate change and next year pressure on the industry will increase as the Carbon Reduction Commitment and the 25% improvement to energy performance in building regulations (Part L) both become law.

Planners are also demanding on site generation and improvements on Part L and the environmental assessment criteria group BREEAM’s standards are mandatory for government estate.

Then there are the various zero carbon trajectories − such as 2016 for domestic, 2019 for non-domestic and 2018 for the government estate. Government departments are now also talking about a low carbon economy. But what fiscal influences play a part in the transformation?

The first area is a price for externalities. An externality is an attempt to assess the impact from a human activity. Economists for some time have been trying to put a price on these impacts. For example, if a material is quarried an externality would include a price for making good the site after the minerals have been exploited. The same is now true for carbon.

The Department for Environment Food and Rural Affairs (Defra) recommends a shadow cost of carbon to take into account its global warming impact, and so it conducted the Stern Review, which was published in 2006. So what are the impacts of adding this externality, or tax, on to a building project? Faithful+Gould has attempted to model the various economic impacts.

Once the Carbon Reduction Commitment begins to mature in 2011, a new market in carbon trading will emerge that could see increases in the costs per tonne. It predicts that carbon will become more of a commodity in construction projects with developers buying carbon budgets for projects under polluter pays principles.

As buildings get closer towards zero carbon design the proportion of carbon that goes into making and assembling the construction components becomes more significant. Unfortunately, there are some real issues in this area. All the recent government papers have been silent on embodied carbon − the consultation on Part L, the zero carbon definition, the Low Carbon Industrial Strategy and low carbon economy documents.

The challenge for industry in calculating embodied carbon is the lack of a consistent methodology, assessment boundary, and robust factors for various components. Then, when overall embodied carbon is calculated, what benchmark is it compared to and how are emissions mitigated?

Those that are offering to assess a building’s embodied carbon tend to use factors assembled by the University of Bath. Although a good start, these need a massive overhaul with UK specific data and analysis if they are to be relied upon.

If the industry is going to tackle embodied carbon it needs:

• More data from manufacturers
• Help on setting assessment boundaries
• Regulatory bodies to ask for it
• More reliable factors
• Carbon budgets (not just shadow)
• Rules of thumb
• Benchmarks

So where is the embedded carbon? Faithful+Gould and others have done some analysis in this area and conclude the emissions fall roughly in particular areas.

The analysis also found that 80% of carbon was in about 20% of the cost items. This has meant that in the short term designers know where to concentrate to get the biggest bang for buck. What about existing buildings? Roughly 50% of the UK’s greenhouse gas emissions come from existing buildings. Faithful+Gould and Atkins are developing a master list of solutions.

These are a very helpful way of sitting down with a client who wants to make emission reductions but does not know where to start − focus is likely to be in the easy low cost items first.

• Sean Lockie is sustainability director at project and cost management consultant Faithful+Gould

Valuation

The evidence for increasing a property’s value by making sure it has an optimal energy performance is still being gathered at the moment and conclusions are hard to reach.

The Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors, Communities and Local Government have been looking at the valuation process in energy lean domestic properties though and similar work is being done by the US Green Building Council.

It does strongly suggest that clients may already be commissioning engineers, architects and cost consultants to evaluate their carbon knowledge as at least a partial factor.

Longer term it could become a primary factor because of the cost implications of losing control of a carbon budget, so understanding the economics of the low carbon economy will become vital.

Bigger Blades and Better Designs in Wind Energy

In parallel with the longstanding move towards ever larger designs, wind turbine manufacturers are also expanding their range of applications and extending the potentially exploitable wind classes.

by David Appleyard, Editor

London -- Evidence that wind generation equipment development continues apace emerges from a swath of new designs that are intended to extend the operational range of existing machines into previously untapped wind regimes. The moves indicate a key trend that is being adopted by the industry's leading original equipment manufacturers as they bid to maximize their engineering capital.

Among those unveiling new or updated designs this year comes evidence of this trend towards expanding the operational wind speed ranges in the 3 MW-class of wind turbines. For example, Enercon has focused the spotlight on its new 3 MW-class wind turbines which are based on its E-82/2.0 MW machine. With the same rotor diameter and tower height (between 78 and 138 metres), it can achieve a yield increase of 3%–6% depending on the wind speed – at the same location, the German manufacturer claims.

Expanding its product portfolio by adding the 82 metre diameter E-82/2.3 MW and E-82/3 MW for strong-wind sites rated as Class I and II wind sites (IA and IIA) by the International Electrotechnical Commission (IEC) and the 101 metre rotor diameter E-101/3 MW for relatively low wind speed inland sites (up to IEC II A), the company says it intends to use these new models to satisfy the growing demand for wind turbines in this capacity range.

Stefan Lütkemeyer, sales manager at Enercon, explains the company strategy, saying: ‘We think it will be this capacity class above all that will exploit the European potential of 80 GW of rated power to be installed by the year 2013.’

The first E-101/3 MW is due to be installed later this year while series manufacturing is scheduled to start in 2011. The E-101 is available with precast concrete towers only and hub heights are 99 or 135 metres. Meanwhile, the prototype of the 2.3 MW machine has been running since February 2009 at a site in Fiebing in north-western Germany and the remaining prototypes are expected to be installed this year. Series manufacturing of the E-82/3 MW is scheduled to start towards the end of this year.

According to Enercon, the turbine design is characterized by more advanced cast iron components, including the main carrier and stator shield – as well as an optimized cooling system, which Enercon says allows the machine to operate at a rated power of 3 MW while largely maintaining the same component sizes, as well as the transport and manufacturing dimensions of the E-82/2 MW machine. ‘We‘ve improved the design of the cast iron components in the nacelle and optimised the air cooling system’, said Arno Hildebrand, engineering manager at Wobben Research & Development (WRD). The previously used stator support star of the generator has been replaced with a stator shield that is shaped in such a way as to protect the generator mechanically, and to allow further components to be fitted directly to it, the designers explain. In contrast to the E-82/2.3 MW, the E-82/3 MW is also suitable for locations where average wind speeds exceed 8.5 m/s, Class II, (at hub height). The generator is somewhat longer than the one in the E-82/2.3 MW. However, Hildebrand adds that the diameter of the generator has not changed.

By way of contrast, REpower Systems AG presented two new variants of their 3.XM series for less windy locations at the European Wind Energy Conference and Exhibition (EWEC 2010) held in Warsaw, Poland in April.

Left: Nordex' latest Gamma generation N100 2.5 MW machine.  Credit: Nordex

With a 104 metre rotor diameter, the 3.4M104 is part of the 3.XM series turbine type introduced in 2008 and which is now available in three different hub heights as a new 128 metre concrete and steel hybrid tower joins two existing steel tower variants with hub heights of 96.5–100 metres and 78–80 metres respectively. Now, the Hamburg-based manufacturer has also announced that it plans to start selling a second variant of the machine, the 114 metre rotor diameter 3.2M114.

Rated at 3.2 MW, compared with the 3.4 MW of the 104 metre version, the newest turbine of the 3.XM series is designed for use in less windy locations in inland areas and is set to be launched in the German market from autumn 2010, with installation of a prototype of the machine planned for 2011. Due to the significantly larger rotor area the 3.2M114 can increase the energy yield at less windy locations, in comparison with the 3.4M104, by up to 10%, REpower says.

The 3.2M114 is initially to be offered with a steel tower and a hub height of 93 metres, though additional variants are planned. The company’s CTO Matthias Schubert observed: ‘We are expanding our product range with the new turbine types in the 3.XM series. Both the 3.4M104 with hybrid tower variant and high hub heights as well as the new 3.2M114 with its 114 metre rotor diameter are optimally suited for less windy locations.’

REpower also unveiled a UK market-specific machine with its 3.4M104 on a 93 metre tower. This meets the 145 metre maximum height requirement for UK planning terms and it is designed for class as IEC1b, the company says, making it suited to the windier conditions in the UK and in particular, Scotland. The turbines are already being actively sold in the UK market with the first installations expected in summer of 2011.

Together with Renewable Energy Systems Canada Inc. (RES Canada) and the Wind Energy TechnoCentre, REpower have also recently announced the installation of two prototype cold climate versions of REpower’s MM92 machines in the Canadian province of Québec. Rated at 2.05 MW each they will be tested intensively in the cold and moist climate of eastern Canada in the following months.

Alstom, too, has launched a larger diameter rotor version of its flagship machine with the unveiling of the ECO 110 wind turbine – a 3 MW rated machine with a rotor diameter of 110 metres designed to maximize energy yield on low to medium wind sites with its 53 metre-long blades.

According to the company, the ECO 110 has been designed to reduce its installation, operation and maintenance costs while its modular design allows the use of industry standard transport and installation equipment. Furthermore, says Alstom, the ergonomic design of its nacelle leaves room to perform easy maintenance. The ECO 110 has also been designed to minimize noise by keeping the rotor speed below 13.7 rpm.

Left: A cutaway of the G10X nacelle.  Credit: Gamesa

The first unit was installed in autumn 2009 at the Loma Viso II wind farm in Albacete, Spain. ‘With the commercial introduction of the ECO 100 wind turbine last year, and now the ECO 110, Alstom confirms its determination to lead the field in large onshore wind turbines’, said Alfonso Faubel, vice president at Alstom Wind.

Among novel turbine concepts presented at EWEC comes a one bladed wind turbine from ADES. With a power range from 100 to 250 kW the medium-sized turbines are currently being tested in Spain, and are due to be available to the market in 2011. The design, a pendular wind turbine with adjusted motor torque, includes a swiveling single-blade rotor, a pendulum power train and a self-steering nacelle. According to the manufacturer, its particular design compensates, accumulates and reinstates wind speed variations, preventing them from affecting the evenness of generator rotation and subsequently diminishing structural overload and power peaks caused by wind gusts.

Generator Concepts

Among the new machines showcased in 2010 was Gamesa’s G10X-4.5 MW platform and specifically the G128-4.5 MW wind turbine, both rated at 4.5 MW. Currently engaged in the marketing and installation of the first pre-series of the G10X-4.5 MW, the machine has a 128 metre rotor diameter and a 120 metre concrete and steel hybrid tower. The turbine offers lower energy costs and ease of transport and installation similar to that of a 2 MW turbine, Gamesa says, adding that the design is the company’s most ambitious project ever.

Turning to the company’s G128-4.5 MW, Gamesa says features include a more easily transported sectional Innoblade, with a new design which minimizes noise. The Innoblade’s structure and materials substantially reduces blade weight, Gamesa adds. The drive train features a semi-integrated main shaft in a two-stage gearbox with mid-speed range output. The integrated design makes the drive train more compact, with fewer components, the designers say, while a permanent magnet synchronous generator using a full converter handles the electrical end.

Earlier in April Gamesa announced that it will deliver 90 permanent magnet generators with a combined capacity of 48 MW for the Ashta hydroelectric project on the Drin River in Albania following an agreement with Andritz Hydro. The generator technology was developed by Gamesa for its G10X-4.5MW turbines and the plant is scheduled to begin operation in 2012.

Elsewhere, Siemens Energy chose EWEC to launch its new SWT-3.0-101 Direct Drive wind turbine for sale, the new SWT-3.0.101 with a rated power of 3 MW. Offering a Direct Drive concept using a permanent magnet generator, the first prototype machine’s generator, which was installed in Denmark in 2009, was produced by the Large Drives Business Unit within the Siemens Industry Sector. With half the parts of a conventional geared wind turbine, and much less than half the number of moving parts, the new wind turbine will require less maintenance and increase profitability for customers, Siemens claims. The new Direct Drive wind turbine features a rotor diameter of 101 metres, and is now available for sale in both onshore and offshore configurations.

‘Our new SWT-3.0-101 will offer 25% more power than our present 2.3 MW machine, but with a lower weight and only half the parts’, said Henrik Stiesdal, CTO of the Siemens Wind Power Business Unit, adding: ‘The nacelle of SWT-3.0-101 weighs only 73 tonnes, which is less than the nacelle of our standard 2.3 MW wind turbine.’ A major advantage of the new machine is its compact design, Siemens says. With a length of 6.8 metres and a diameter of only 4.2 metres, the nacelle can be transported using standard vehicles commonly available in most major markets. Stiesdal added, ‘Our main target for the new machine was to reduce complexity in order to increase reliability and profitability.’

As a next step, the zero-series with up to 10 SWT-3.0-101 wind turbines will be installed in various parts of the world during 2010. Commercial serial production is expected to commence in 2011. ‘Like with our previous machines, we will run a controlled ramp-up program with the SWT-3.0-101’, continued Stiesdal.

Meanwhile, Nordex SE unveiled a new generation of its 2.5 MW turbine series – the third, Gamma, generation. Comprising the N80, N90 and N100 turbines. Nordex has redesigned the nacelle, hub and rotor blades in the new generation to be both lighter and more robust. This also simplifies transportation and installation, while simultaneously reducing the static and dynamic loads on the overall turbine, they say.

The rotor shaft and integrated slip ring have also been redesigned to protect the slip ring from the weather and mechanical influences, Nordex says. Furthermore, the slip ring is now heated to stop condensation from forming. In the yaw system Nordex has also further developed its proprietary control system with an improved concept for temperature control, which the company says ensures maximum yield in both permafrost and desert climates.

Monitoring, Operations and Maintenance

Another key area for development is the drive to improve energy output through a range of measures comprising forecasting, reliability, efficiency and ease of operation and maintenance.

For instance, Spanish wind major Gamesa has launched an online weather forecasting and condition monitoring service.

Its so-called Mega system provides detailed information on wind farms to enhance their performance and better integrate the energy they generate into electricity markets, the company says.

The Mega system allows subscribers to access seven-day forecasts for hourly wind conditions and wind farm output. The Basic option offers forecasts based on customised statistical meteorological modelling for each wind farm. This information is updated five times a day.

The Premium version builds on the Basic version with hourly updates via a real-time connection to wind farm data. By using short-term forecasting models, this system provides greater precision and enhanced assessment of likely conditions and output at wind farms, minimising the risk of deviations between expected and actual generation.

Gamesa plans to add new features to the Mega service in the medium term, including precipitation, temperature and relative humidity forecasts. Gamesa says it has spent more than seven years investing in wind pattern forecasting and wind farm output modelling systems.

Similarly, GL Garrad Hassan – the new name for the renewable energy business segment of Germanischer Lloyd Group – launched its new Online Data Management (ODM) service at the EWEC event. The new tool helps windpark operators, investors and developers in maximizing the value of their wind resource measurement investment via stable, accurate and continuous data collection and review, the company says. The service allows 24/7 secure online access to summary statistics compiled from the data recorded, including energy estimates and other critical information pertinent to the early stages of project development.

Left: The latest version of the 3X.M is designed for low wind speeds. Credit: Repower

More recently Vestas announced an R&D project to impove wind farm management. The so-called Intelligent Energy Management System for a Virtual Power Plant, this project will introduce energy storage into a wind power plant as an optional component for enhanced power generation control. The project will run for 3–5 years, Vestas said in a statement.

‘Storage embedded in the wind power plant allows the power to be regulated without compromising any capture of available wind energy. Such a balancing mechanism opens for even higher amounts of wind power on the grid and for added value of the generated wind power to the transmission system operator. In turn, this makes our wind power plants an even better investment for our customers’, explained Finn Strøm Madsen, president of Vestas Technology R&D.

Other Developments

With evidence of increasing demand for wind turbines despite the economic downturn, it is clear from the spread of recent announcements that the OEMs supplying the wind sector are responding to demands for machines which are more versatile, more robust and reliable, and more economic to operate and maintain. But perhaps the key development does not come from a technology company.

According to a comprehensive assessment of studies of the impact of wind energy on electricity prices – carried out by the independent consultancy Pöyry AS on behalf of the European Wind Energy Association (EWEA) – wind power generation already reduces electricity prices for consumers.

The review, ‘Wind Energy and Electricity Prices’, brings together findings of case studies in Germany, Denmark and Belgium and finds that electricity prices were reduced by €3–€23/MWh depending on the amount of wind power installed. It concludes that the three case studies ‘essentially draw similar conclusions’ and that ‘an increased penetration of wind power reduces wholesale spot prices.’

That OEMs are continuing to hone their chosen instruments is inevitable in a competitive market and consumers will surely benefit as a result. That wind is already directly curbing European electricity prices is perhaps less obvious, and all the more significant for it.

Renewables Continue Remarkable Growth

Renewables had another banner year in 2009, with policy, investment and market development activity across a spread of nations - as recorded in the REN21 Renewables 2010 Global Status Report.

by Janet Sawin, Eric Martinot, David Appleyard

London, UK By 2010, renewable energy had reached a clear tipping point in the context of global energy supply, concludes the 'Renewables 2010 Global Status Report'. With renewables comprising fully one quarter of global power capacity from all sources and delivering 18% of global electricity supply in 2009, the latest release of the definitive assessment of the state of the global renewable energy industry from the Renewable Energy Policy Network for the 21st Century (REN21) details the current status and key trends of global markets, investment, industry and policies related to renewable energy.

Investment in new renewable power capacity continued to increase during 2009, despite challenges posed by the global financial crisis, lower oil prices, and slow progress with climate change policy. For the second year in a row, more money was invested in new renewable power capacity than in new fossil fuel capacity. The renewable generating capacity installed over the past two years accounts for nearly 50% of total generating capacity added to the world's grids over this period.

Furthermore, the rapid adoption beyond the industrialised world means that today more than half of the existing renewable power capacity is in developing countries.

These trends reflect strong growth and investment across all market sectors including power generation, heating and cooling, and transport fuels. Grid-connected solar PV has grown by an average of 60% every year for the past decade, increasing 100-fold since 2000. During the period from year-end 2004 through 2009, consistently high growth year-after-year marked virtually every other renewable technology as well. During those five years, annual growth rates averaged 27% for wind power capacity, 19% for solar water heating, and 20% for ethanol production. Indeed, as other economic sectors declined around the world, existing renewable capacity continued to grow during 2009 at rates close to, or exceeding, those in previous years. Market growth for some technologies - including wind and concentrating solar power, and solar water heating - exceeded their five-year averages in 2009. Annual production of ethanol and biodiesel increased 10% and 9%, respectively, despite layoffs and ethanol plant closures in the United States and Brazil. Biomass and geothermal for power and heat also grew strongly last year.

Much more active policy development during the past several years culminated in a significant policy milestone in early 2010 with more than 100 countries having some type of policy target and/or promotion policy related to renewable energy in place. Most countries have adopted more than one policy and there is a significant diversity of policy mechanisms in use at national, state/provincial and local levels to advance renewable energy. In addition, many of the new targets enacted in the past three years call for shares of energy or electricity from renewables in the 15%-25% range by 2020.

Renewable Energy Extends Its Reach

Recent trends also reflect the increasing significance of developing countries in advancing renewable energy. Collectively, developing countries now account for almost half of the countries with some sort of policy to promote renewable power generation, and they have more than half of global renewable power capacity. Today China leads the world in several indicators of market growth. India ranks fifth worldwide in total existing wind power capacity and is rapidly expanding many forms of rural renewables such as biogas and solar PV, while Brazil produces virtually all of the world's sugar-derived ethanol and has been adding new biomass and wind power plants. Renewables markets are growing at rapid rates in several other developing countries such as Argentina, Costa Rica, Egypt, Indonesia, Kenya, Tanzania, Thailand, Tunisia and Uruguay, to name a few.

The geography of renewable energy is changing in ways that suggest a new era of geographic diversity. For example, wind power existed in just a handful of countries in the 1990s but now operates in over 82 countries. Outside of Europe and the US, other developed countries like Australia, Canada and Japan are seeing recent gains and broader technology diversification. The developing world is experiencing a similar trend and, for example, today at least 20 countries in the Middle East, North Africa and sub-Saharan Africa have active renewable energy markets. This geographic diversity is boosting confidence that renewables are less vulnerable to market dislocations in any specific country.

Meanwhile, leadership in manufacturing is shifting from Europe to Asia as countries like China, India and South Korea continue to increase their commitments to renewable energy. In 2009, firms in China produced 40% of the world's solar PV cell supply, 30% of the world's wind turbines (up from 10% in 2007), and 77% of the world's solar hot water collectors.

Figure 1. Installed capacity by region and technology for 2009

Renewables Investment Remains Robust

Greatly increased investment from both public-sector and development banks is also driving renewables development. Excluding large hydro, total investment in renewable energy capacity was about US$150 billion in 2009, up from the revised $130 billion recorded in 2008. Investment in new renewable power capacity in both 2008 and 2009 represented over half of total global investment in new power generation. However, investment in utility-scale renewable energy additions dropped 6% in 2009 from the 2008 level, despite 'green stimulus' efforts by many of the world's major economies and increased investments from development banks in Europe, Asia and South America.

All told, again excluding large hydro, the world invested $101 billion in new utility-scale renewable energy development in 2009, compared with $108 billion in 2008. In 2009 there was also investment of some $50 billion worldwide in small-scale projects such as rooftop solar PV and solar hot water. An additional $40-$45 billion was invested in large hydropower.

Renewable energy companies invested billions of dollars in plant and equipment to manufacture solar modules, wind turbines and other generating devices during 2009. Venture capital and private equity investment in clean energy companies totalled $4.5 billion, down from $9.5 billion in 2008, while public market investment in quoted clean energy firms reached $12.8 billion, up from $11.8 billion. Government and corporate research, development, and deployment spending on clean energy technology in 2009 is estimated at $24.6 billion, up around 2% from 2008, the bulk (68%) of which went to energy-efficiency technologies.

Germany and China were the investment leaders in 2009, each spending roughly $25-$30 billion on new renewables capacity, including small hydro. They were followed by the US, investing over $15 billion, and Italy and Spain with about $4-$5 billion each.

The wind energy sector continued to be the hands-down leader, receiving 62% of the global total invested - $62.7 billion in 2009, up from $55.5 billion the year before. Most of the growth was due to China's rapid capacity expansion, increased investment activity in the wind sector in Latin America, and a handful of large utility-backed offshore wind deals in the UK.

These gains were offset by a $5.6 billion drop in solar power asset investment, to $17.1 billion in 2009, and a plunge in biofuels spending, down to $5.6 billion from $15.4 billion in 2008. Lower investment in PV in 2009 was due to several factors. One was the behaviour of prices along the value chain, with PV module prices falling by some 50% over the year, bringing the dollar value of financial investment down with them. Other factors included the Spanish government's cap on PV project development at the end of the boom associated with the pre-September 2008 tariff, and the shortage of debt finance for utility-scale projects in Europe and the US, which also affected wind farms. Concerns about scheduled reductions in feed-in tariff support for PV in some countries actually spurred on developers rather than holding them back. Indeed, Germany witnessed a spectacular end-of-2009 spurt in small-scale PV project construction.

In 2007, biofuels commanded 22% of global asset finance, with investment totalling $19.6 billion. However, the sector slipped to $15.4 billion in spending in 2008 and just $5.6 billion in 2009, representing only 5% of global project investment. An oversupply in US ethanol continued to smother investment in the biofuels sector in 2009. Things may soon turn around as both Brazil and the United States continue to follow ambitious biofuels targets. Brazil's state-owned oil company Petrobras has moved into the ethanol sector, and US plants bought under bankruptcy auctions in 2008 and 2009 have begun slowly to resume operation.

The decline in asset investment in biofuels relegated the sector to fourth place among the renewable energy sectors in 2009. Stepping up to third place, after wind and solar, was biomass (including waste-to-energy), with a rise in investment to $10.4 billion, from $9 billion in 2008.

In Europe, Brazil and elsewhere, the brightest feature for project investors during 2009 was the expanded role of public sector banks. The European Investment Bank (EIB) and Germany's KfW Banking Group, in particular, significantly raised their lending to renewable energy. The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) played an active role in project finance, albeit not on the scale of the EIB and KfW, as did the Brazilian National Bank of Economic and Social Development (BNDES) for Brazilian projects (though its lending declined relative to 2008 levels).

This strong contribution by the public sector was all the more needed, because many commercial banks - from Europe to the United States and elsewhere - found it impossible to sustain the 2008 level of lending to renewable energy projects. Overall, development assistance for renewables in developing countries surged in 2009, up to $5 billion from $2 billion in 2008. For example, the World Bank Group, including the International Finance Corporation and the Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency (MIGA), saw the largest increase to date in finance from previous years. Finance rose fivefold in 2009 as $1.38 billion were committed to new renewables (solar, wind, geothermal, biomass and hydro below 10 MW) and another $177 million to large hydropower.

Expanding the Reach of Policies and Targets

Growth in renewables is inevitably supported through government policy. Renewable energy policies existed in a few countries in the 1980s and early 1990s, but policy support began to emerge in many more countries, states, provinces, and cities during the period 1998-2005, and even more so during 2005-2010.

Many countries have adopted national targets for shares of electricity production. Targets are typically for 5%-30% of electricity from renewable sources, but they range from 2%-90%. Many historical targets have aimed for the 2010-2012 timeframe, but targets aiming for 2020 and beyond have multiplied in recent years.

Developing nations now make up more than half of the countries worldwide with renewable energy targets. The 'Renewables 2007 Global Status Report' counted 22 developing countries with targets, a figure that had expanded to 45 by early 2010. Developing countries' targets are also becoming increasingly ambitious. For example, China aims for 15% of final energy consumption from renewables by 2020, even as total energy demand continues to grow at nearly double-digit annual rates.

Several countries have adopted targets at state/provincial and regional levels - and at other levels as well - with many mandated through renewable portfolio standards (RPS) and other policies.

In 2008, all 27 EU countries confirmed national targets for 2020, following a 2007 EU-wide target of 20% of final energy by 2020. It appears that many countries won't meet their 2010 targets by the end of the year, although this won't be known immediately due to data lags. Nonetheless, some EU countries were close to or had already achieved various types of national 2010 targets early in the year, including France, Germany, Latvia, Spain and Sweden.

City and local governments around the world are also enacting renewable energy promotion policies. Hundreds of cities and local governments have established future targets for renewables; urban planning that incorporates renewables into city development; building codes that mandate or promote renewables; tax credits and exemptions; purchases of renewable power or fuels for public buildings and transit; innovative electric utility policies; subsidies, grants, or loans; and many information and promotion activities.

Figure 2. Growth in renewables capacity, annual and five-year average

Supporting Renewable Electricity Generation

At least 83 countries - 41 developed/transition countries and 42 developing countries - have some type of policy to promote renewable power generation. The 10 most common policy types are feed-in tariffs (FiTs), renewable portfolio standards, capital subsidies or grants, investment tax credits, sales tax or VAT exemptions, green certificate trading, direct energy production payments or tax credits, net metering, direct public investment or financing, and public competitive bidding.

The most common policy currently in use is the feed-in tariff, which has been enacted in many new countries and regions in recent years. By early 2010, at least 50 countries and 25 states/provinces had adopted FiTs over the years, more than half of which have been enacted since 2005.

Strong momentum for feed-in tariffs (FiTs) continues around the world as countries enact new policies or revise existing ones. For example, France adopted a tariff for building-integrated PV that was among the highest in the world (€0.42-€0.58/kWh). Other countries that adopted or updated FiTs included the Czech Republic, Germany, Greece, India, Ireland, Japan, Kenya, Slovenia, South Africa, Taiwan, Thailand, Ukraine and the UK. In some countries, tariffs were reduced in response to technology cost reductions, market slowdowns and concerns about foreign manufacturer market share; indeed, reductions were more prevalent in 2009 and early 2010 than in previous years.

Renewable portfolio standards (RPS) - also called renewable obligations or quota policies - exist at the state/province level in the US, Canada and India, and at the national level in 10 countries: Australia, Chile, China, Italy, Japan, the Philippines, Poland, Romania, Sweden and the UK. Globally, 56 states provinces, or countries had RPS policies in place by early 2010. Most RPS policies require renewable power shares in the range of 5%-20%, typically by 2010 or 2012, although more recent policies are extending targets to 2015, 2020 and 2025. Most RPS targets translate into large expected future investments in renewable generation, although the specific means (and effectiveness) of achieving quotas can vary greatly across countries or states.

Investment tax credits, import duty reductions and/or other tax incentives are also common means for providing financial support at the national level in many countries, and at the state level in the United States, Canada and Australia. Many tax credits apply to a broad range of renewable energy technologies, such as Indonesia's new 5% tax credit adopted in early 2010, and a new 2009 policy in the Philippines for seven-year income tax exemptions and zero-VAT rates for renewable energy projects.

Energy production payments or credits, sometimes called 'premiums', also exist in a handful of countries while capital subsidies and tax credits have been particularly instrumental in supporting solar PV markets. Net metering (also called net billing) is an important policy for rooftop solar PV and laws now exist in at least 10 countries - including a growing number of developing countries. A few jurisdictions are also begining to mandate solar PV in selected types of new construction through building codes.

Supporting Renewable Heating & Transport

More countries are also adopting policies to support renewable heat and transport. The primary focus of heat-related measures has been solar water heating, and mandates for solar hot water in new construction represent a strong trend at both national and local levels. For years Israel was the only country with a national level mandate, but Spain followed in 2006 with a national building code that requires minimum levels of solar hot water in new construction and renovation. Solar thermal systems must meet 30%-70% of energy needs for hot water, depending on climatic zone, consumption level, and backup fuel. Many other countries have since followed suit. South Korea's new 2010 mandate requires on-site renewable energy to contribute at least 5% of total energy consumption for new public buildings over 1000 m², for example. Other countries with solar hot water targets include Morocco and Tunisia.

Capital subsidies for solar hot water are now a common policy in many states and countries. At least 20 countries, and probably several more, provide capital grants, rebates, VAT exemptions, or investment tax credits for solar hot water/heating investments, including Australia, Chile, Japan, New Zealand, Portugal, Spain, and Uruguay.

In the transport sector, mandates for blending biofuels into vehicle fuels have been enacted in at least 41 states/provinces and 24 countries at the national level. Most mandates require blending 10%-15% ethanol with gasoline or 2%-5% biodiesel with diesel fuel. Mandates can now be found in at least 13 Indian states/territories, nine Chinese provinces, nine US states, five Canadian provinces, two Australian states, and at least 14 developing countries at the national level.

In addition to mandated blending, several targets and plans define future biofuel use. Countries with production or use targets include the US, the UK, Japan, China and South Africa. Targets for renewable energy's share of transportation energy exist in at least four EU countries at the national level (Belgium, Croatia, France and Portugal), as well as the EU-wide target of 10% of transport energy by 2020, covering both sustainable biofuels and electric vehicles.

Basis for Optimism

Almost all renewable energy industries experienced manufacturing growth in 2009. It must be conceded, however, that many capital expansion plans were scaled back or postponed.

The REN21 Renewables 2010 Global Status Report reveals that for the second year in a row, in both the United States and Europe, more renewable power capacity was added than conventional power capacity from fossil fuels or nuclear. China added a staggering 37 GW of renewable power generation capacity in 2009, more than any other country in the world, to reach 226 GW installed. Globally, nearly 80 GW of renewable power capacity was added, including 31 GW of hydro and 48 GW of non-hydro capacity.

Indeed, wind power additions reached a record high of 38 GW - China was the top market, with 13.8 GW added. Solar PV additions reached a record high of 7 GW - Germany was the top market, with 3.8 GW added. And many countries saw record biomass use - notable was Sweden, where biomass accounted for a larger share of energy supply than oil for the first time. And biofuels production contributed the energy equivalent of 5% of world gasoline in 2009.

Even the most cynical observer must acknowledge this is a success story by any means, let alone under the current economic climate. Renewable energy is now breaking into the mainstream of energy markets thanks to hundreds of new government policies, accelerating private and public investment, and numerous technology advances achieved since the first Renewables Global Status report was released in 2005.

Despite the continuing advances highlighted in this year's report, the world has tapped only a fraction of the vast renewable energy resources available to us. Further strengthening of policy support can help drive the massive scale up in renewables needed for the sector to play a major role in building a stable, secure and enduring low-carbon global economy.

David Appleyard is chief editor of Renewable Energy World. Janet Sawin is research director (2008-2010) and lead author of the REN21 Renewables Global Status Report. She is also a partner at Sunna Research and a senior fellow with the Worldwatch Institute. Eric Martinot is research director emeritus and lead author of the REN21 Renewables Global Status Report. He is also a senior research director at the Institute for Sustainable Energy Policies and a senior fellow with the Worldwatch Institute.

Most of the investment data was provided by Bloomberg New Energy Finance (BNEF). See also the UNEP/BNEF report Global Trends in Sustainability Energy Investment 2010, which was released jointly with the REN21 report.